Institutional ownership as a moderator: Exploring the effect of investment opportunities and business risk on dividend policy
Keywords:
Business Risk, Dividend Policy, Institutional Ownership, Investment OpportunityAbstract
This study aims to examine the effect of investment opportunity and business risk on dividend policy, as well as the moderating role of institutional ownership in these relationships. The research is grounded in the pecking order theory and the clientele theory. The population comprises companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) from 2021 to 2023 in the healthcare, basic materials, consumer non-cyclicals, industrials, and consumer cyclicals sectors. A total of 311 firms were selected using a non-probability purposive sampling method. Data were collected through non-participant observation by downloading financial reports from the official IDX website (www.idx.co.id), and analyzed using Moderated Regression Analysis (MRA). The results indicate that both investment opportunity and business risk have a negative effect on dividend policy. Furthermore, institutional ownership strengthens the negative effect of business risk on dividend policy. However, institutional ownership does not moderate the relationship between investment opportunity and dividend policy. These findings support the pecking order theory in terms of internal financing preferences and the clientele theory regarding how dividend policies may vary based on the preferences of majority shareholders, particularly institutional investors.
Downloads
References
Abadiyah, S., & Kusumaningrum, T. M. (2024). Pengaruh profitabilitas, leverage, kesempatan investasi, tax avoidance, dan Kepemilikan manajerial terhadap kebijakan dividen dengan likuiditas sebagai variabel moderasi pada perusahaan sektor propertydan real estateyang terdaftar di Bursa EfekIndonesia. Jurnal Ilmu Manajemen, 11(3), 654-670.
Adiwibowo, A. S., Larasati, O., & Nurmala, P. (2021). Pengaruh free cash flow dan investment opportunity set terhadap kebijakan deviden. Jurnal Riset Keuangan Dan Akuntansi, 7(1).
Aini, S. N., & Sawitri, A. P. (2020). Dampak Sales Growth, Posisi Kas, Investment Opportunity Set, Kepemilikan Institusional terhadap Kebijakan Dividen pada Indeks Kompas 100. Majalah Ekonomi, 25(1), 26-42.
AlGhazali, A., Al Yahyaee, K. H., Fairchild, R., & Guney, Y. (2024). What do dividend changes reveal? Theory and evidence from a unique environment. Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, 62, 499–552.
Azizah, T. I., & Paramita, R. A. (2024). Pengaruh profitabilitas, likuiditas, leverage, kepemilikan manajerial dan risiko bisnis terhadap kebijakan dividen dengan firm size sebagai variabelmoderasi pada perusahaan sektor consumer cyclicals. Jurnal Ilmu Manajemen, 12(3), 569-584.
Baig, A., & Chen, M. (2022). Did the COVID-19 pandemic (really) positively impact the IPO Market? An Analysis of Information Uncertainty. Finance Research Letters, 46, 1-11.
Bataineh, H. (2021). The impact of ownership structure on dividend policy of listed firms in Jordan. Cogent Business & Management, 8(1), 1-18.
Chatterjee, C., Dutta, P., & Basu, S. (2024). Evidence-based Stock Price Behaviour Around Cash Dividend Announcements in an Emerging Market Set-up. Global Business Review, 25(2S), 265S –282S.
Fahmi, M. M., & Sulhan, M. (2020). Pengaruh Free Cash Flow Dan Investment Opportunity Set Terhadap Kebijakan Dividen Dengan Kepemilikan Institusional Sebagai Variabel Pemoderasi. Jurnal Ilmiah Manajemen, 8(2), 43-63.
Gaver, J. J., & Gaver, K. M. (1993). Additional Evidence on the Association between the Invesment Opportunity Set and Corporate Financing, Dividend, and Compensation Policies. Journal of Accounting and Economics, 16(1), 125-160.
Golubov, A., Lasfer, M., & Vitkova, V. (2020). Active catering to dividend clienteles: Evidence from takeovers. Journal of Financial Economics, 137(3), 815-836. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2020.04.002
Harahap, R. M., Mustaruddin, M., & Rustam, R. (2021). The effect of efficiency, market power, debt, and risk on company performance and their impact on dividend policy on the manufacturing sector in the Indonesia stock exchange. International Journal of Business, Economics and Management, 4(4), 477-486. https://doi.org/10.21744/ijbem.v4n4.1804
Hartono, P. G., Sari, W. R., Tinungki, G. M., Jakaria, & Hartono, A. B. (2021). The Determinants of Dividend Policy: An Empirical Study of Inconsistent Distribution of Dividnends Using Balanced Panel Data Analysis. Media Ekonomi dan Manajemen,, 89-106.
Hossain, M. (2021). The effect of the Covid-19 on sharing economy activities. Journal of Cleaner Production, 280, 124782. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2020.124782
Ibn-Mohammed, T., Mustapha, K. B., Godsell, J., Adamu, Z., Babatunde, K. A., Akintade, D. D., ... & Koh, S. C. L. (2021). A critical analysis of the impacts of COVID-19 on the global economy and ecosystems and opportunities for circular economy strategies. Resources, Conservation and Recycling, 164, 105169. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.resconrec.2020.105169
Jao, R., Daromes, F. E., & Samparaya, R. (2022). Pengaruh Ukuran Perusahaan, Leverage, Profitabilitas, dan Risiko Bisnis Terhadap Kebijakan Dividen. Jurnal Akuntansi Kompetif, 5(2), 102-111.
Jovkovi?, B., Vasi?, A. S., & Bogi?evi?, J. (2021). Determinants of Dividend Policy: A Case of Serbia’s Banking Sector. Naše gospodarstvo/Our Economy, 67(1), 13-22.
Lotto, J. (2020). On an ongoing corporate dividend dialogue: Do external influences also matter in dividend decision? Cogent Business & Management, 7(1), 1-13.
Miller, M., & Modigliani, F. (1961). Dividend policy, growth and the valuation of shares. J Bus, 34, 411–433.
Mnune, T. D., & Purbawangsa, I. B. (2019). Pengaruh Profitabilitas, Leverage, Ukuran Perusahaan dan Risiko Bisnis terhadap Kebijakan Dividen pada Perusahaan Manufaktur. E-Jurnal Manajemen, 8(5), 2862-2890.
Moin, A., Guney, Y., & Kalak, I. E. (2020). The effects of ownership structure, sub optimal cash holdings and investment inefficiency on dividend policy: evidence from Indonesia. Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, 55, 857-900.
Myers, C. S. (1984). The Capital Structure Puzzle. The Journal of Finance, 39, 575-592.
Myers, C. S., & Majluf, N. (1984). Corporate Financing and InvestmentT Decision When Firms have Information that Investors do not have. Journal of Financial Economics, 13, 187-221.
Novendra, R. B., Sampurno, R. D., & Januardi, N. V. (2023). Analisis Pengaruh Profitabilitas, Struktur Modal, Pertumbuhan Perusahaan, dan Kepemilikan Saham Manajerial terhadap Kebijakan Dividen dengan Tarif Pajak sebagai Variabel Moderasi. Diponegoro Jurnal of Management, 12(5), 1-14.
Putra, I. G., & Manuari, I. A. (2024). The Investment Opportunity and Company Size Affecting Financial Performance and Dividend Policy. Journal Riset Akuntansi Kontemporer, 16(1), 35-42.
Putri, E., Ardiningrum, B. N., & Nursiam, N. (2022). The Influence of Liquidity Leverage, Profitability and Business Risk on the Dividend Policy of Manufacturing Companies Listed oh the IDX. Jurnal Riset Akuntansi dan Keuangan Indonesia, 7(2), 244-250.
Rahmadani, D. W., & Trisnawati, R. (2023). The Effects of Leverage, Liquidity, and Investment Opportunities on Dividend Policy With Profability As a Moderated Variable. The International Journal of Business Management and Technology, 7(1), 709-720.
Rahmani, A. (2020). Dampak Covid-19 Terhadap Harga Saham dan Kinerja Keuangan Perusahaan. Kajian Akuntansi, 21(2), 252-269.
Robiyanto, R., & Yunitaria, F. (2022). Dividend announcement effect analysis before and during the COVID 19 pandemic in the Indonesia Stock Exchange. Springer Nature Business & Economics Journal, 2-20.
Rochmah, H. N., & Ardianto, A. (2020). Catering dividend: Dividend premium and free cash flow on dividend policy. Cogent Business & Management, 7(1), 1-16.
Rohov, H., Kolodiziev, O., Shulga, N., Krupka, M., & Riabovolyk, T. (2020). Factors affecting the dividend policy of non-financial joint-stock companies in Ukraine. Investment Management and Financial Innovations, 17(3), 40-53.
Sajiwo, B., & Arifin, Z. (2023). The Effect of Liquidity, Investment Opportunity Set, Free Cash Flow, and State-Owned Enterprise on the Dividend Policy of Bank Listed in the Indonesia Stock Exchange. International Journal of Multidisiciplonary Research and Analysis, 6(4), 1398-1405.
Salawudeen, A., Isa, M. A., & Dandago, K. I. (2022). Shareholder's Dividend Preference in the Nigerian Capital Market. International Journal of Management Studies, 29(2), 45-70.
Salawudeen, A., Isa, M. A., & Salaudeen, M. Y. (2020). Shareholders’ preference and dividend policy: An empirical analysis of listed industrial goods companies in Nigeria. Research Journal of Finance and Accounting, 11(24), 70-80.
Salsabila, N. F., & Isbanah, Y. (2020). Pengaruh Profitabilitas dan Risiko Bisnis terhadap Dividend Payout Ratio Melalui Likuiditas sebagai Variabel Moderasi. Jurnal Ilmu Manajemen, 8(4), 1301-1311.
Septiani, M., Ariyani, N., & Ispriyahadi, H. (2020). The effect of stock prices, return on assets, and firm size on dividend payout ratio: evidence from Indonesian financial service companies. Diponegoro International Journal of Business, 3(1), 17-27.
Sharma, R. K. (2020). Factors influencing dividend decisions of Indian construction, housing and real estate companies: An empirical panel data analysis. Int J Fin Econ., 1-18.
Tinungki, G., Rohiyanto, R., & Hartono, P. (2021). The Effect of COVID-19 Pandemic on Corporate Dividend Policy in Indonesia: The Static and Dynamic Panel Data Approaches. Economics, 10(11), 1-18.
Tripathy, N., Wu, D., & Zheng, Y. (2021). Dividends and financial health: Evidence from US bank holding companies. Journal of Corporate Finance, 66, 101808. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jcorpfin.2020.101808
Vantovi, C. L., Subaida, I., & Pramitasari, T. D. (2024). Pengaruh Struktur Modal, Ukuran Perusahaan dan Risiko Bisnis terhadap Kebijakan Dividen dengan Profitabilitas sebagai Variabel Intervening pada Perusahaan Manufaktur Sektor Industri Dasar dan Kimia yang Terdaftar di BEI. Jurnal Mahasiswa Entrepreneur (JME), 1599- 1613.
WHO, W. H. (2020). WHO Timeline—Covid-19. Retrieved from https://www.who.int/news/item/27-04-2020-who-timeline---covid-19
Wu, M., Ni, Y., & Huang, P. (2020). Dividend payouts and family-controlled firms—The effect of culture on business. The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, 75, 221-228. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.qref.2019.03.004
Wulandari, D. U., & Suardana, K. A. (2017). Pengaruh Profitabilitas, Kesempatan Investasi, Free Cash Flow, dan Debt Policy pada Kebijakan Dividen Perusahaan Manufaktur. E-Jurnal Akuntansi Universitas Udayana, 20(1), 202-230.
Yudha, I. P., Arizona, I. P., & Pradnyawati, S. O. (2024). Pengaruh Profitabilitas, Leverage, Likuiditas, Kesempatan Investasi dan Ukuran Perusahaan terhadap Kebijakan Dividen. Kumpulan Hasil Riset Mahasiswa Akuntansi (KHARISMA), 336-352.
Yunita, E. V., & Subardjo, A. (2024). Pengaruh Profitabilitas, Free Cash Flow, Likuiditas, dan Investment Opportunity Set terhadap Kebijakan Dividen. Jurnal Ilmiah Akuntansi dan Keuangan, 2(1), 80-96.
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
Copyright (c) 2025 International journal of business, economics and management

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.
Articles published in the International Journal of Business, Economics & Management (IJBEM) are available under Creative Commons Attribution Non-Commercial No Derivatives Licence (CC BY-NC-ND 4.0). Authors retain copyright in their work and grant IJBEM right of first publication under CC BY-NC-ND 4.0. Users have the right to read, download, copy, distribute, print, search, or link to the full texts of articles in this journal, and to use them for any other lawful purpose.
Articles published in IJBEM can be copied, communicated and shared in their published form for non-commercial purposes provided full attribution is given to the author and the journal. Authors are able to enter into separate, additional contractual arrangements for the non-exclusive distribution of the journal's published version of the work (e.g., post it to an institutional repository or publish it in a book), with an acknowledgment of its initial publication in this journal.








